Originally published: 1981
282 pages | Chapter
27
WEALTH AND POVERTY
George Gilder |
Primarily because of some spectacular individual failures, and despite
three centuries of inspiring success, capitalism does not always engender
warm, soft feelings in people. George Gilder opines that capitalism's
deficiency in creating a positive emotional response is as much the fault of
the observer's knowledge as it is of the system's defects. As proof of that,
when Wealth and Poverty was first published and extensively reviewed,
Gilder noted that "the central theme of the book had not been grasped,
even by my closest intellectual allies in the conservative movement. Indeed
it was missed by all the book's reviewers. This failure was so widespread I
was forced to conclude it was . . . my fault." In a second attempt to
achieve his original purpose-a useful explication of modern capitalism and
its effects on society-Gilder offers the updated edition synopsized here.
The point of Gilder's experience, that even the most precise and succinct
explanation of any theory or philosophy can be misconstrued or even wholly
misunderstood if the public's mindset is at odds with its premise, is
something skeptics of all hues should keep close in mind as they are asked
to consider taking a road less traveled.
The principal intent of Gilder's effort in Wealth
and Poverty is to investigate two aspects of modern economics: the
logic, machinations, and rationale of private enterprise, and the effect of
government on a free market system (with particular attention to taxation).
For Gilder, as for Adam Smith and all those who
have honestly investigated competitive free-market economics, the core of
capitalism is inherently (but not exclusively) self-interest. It is not
greed in
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a negative sense, for if this were the heart of our capitalistic
interrelationships neither consumers nor producers would be very interested
in participating. Self-interest's beneficial essence is a form of mutual
sustaining; "I will do well for myself if I do well by others."
Capitalism's engine is the division of labor. Its
fuel is profit. Essentially no one, except those who choose to live on a
primitive level, can create a self-sustaining life. This results in a need
for personal and commercial cooperation.
As Gilder notes, the necessary variety of objects
and services required in a modern economy is well supplied through the
division of labor. In a free enterprise system after each person acts
individually to create something of value (whether working alone or under
the umbrella of a larger enterprise) he or she engages in
"marketing" their skill or product. The free interaction with
others who offer different skills and products establishes an
"open" market where exchange is (essentially) uncontrolled. Each
hopes to profit (in the broadest sense) by means of that
interaction-the goal being to achieve a personal level of independence. Each
wishes to become self-sustaining through mutually beneficial but primarily
self-interested exchange.
Gilder offers the following in explaining Adam
Smith's comprehensions:
[I]t is not from the benevolence of the entrepreneur that we expect
to profit, but from the interaction of each of us with regard to our
own interests.
Enlightened self-interest, Smith's concept and
phrase, is what makes the system work. The division of labor basic to
capitalism results in everyone organizing coincidentally-not
intentionally-and that unplanned cooperation becomes reciprocally beneficial
simply by default.
Unfortunately, in offering his explanation Gilder
uses the word "altruism" to define and explain the mutual
cooperation and profit inherent in a successful capitalistic system. This
word's modern meaning and use, "the practice or philosophy of devotion
to the welfare or best interests of others," when utilized as an
explanation of the foundation of capitalism, somewhat confuses the topic. It
makes Gilder's larger point marginally more difficult for some readers to
comprehend. Ludwig von Mises, in Human Action
(Chapter 40), dissects the motivations behind capitalism and suggests that,
in a market economy,
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Everybody acts on his own behalf; but everybody's actions aim at
the satisfaction of other people's needs as well as at the satisfaction
of his own.
Gilder's attempt to raise these motivations to
the level of altruism, a word that connotes self-sacrificing subservience to
the greater good of others, creates some ambiguity, especially in relation
to the concept of profit, an equally integral part of capitalism. It is
enough off the mark that it can foster an unease in the comprehension of his
unquestionably valid point. If we "lower" the definition of
capitalistic enterprise to express it as a community of interests, one's own
and those of others, the essence of everyone's mutual efforts may be better
understood.
As was noted earlier in this book, capitalism
sometimes gets a bad reputation because of the actions of that small
minority who actually operate outside its boundaries. This is an
anomaly that deserves some attention. It must be stressed that such deviants
as the crooked financier, the dishonest salesperson, the slick huckster, or
the outright thief not only do not typify free enterprise, they operate in
opposition to it. These parasites abuse the open market by contravening it.
That these charlatans get as much press as they do skews the impression of
capitalism to the detriment of everyone who participates honestly. This is
particularly obvious when one considers that on any given day there are
literally billions and billions of free-market transactions, all of which
are fair and open and mutually benefiting to the parties who participate.
The number of honest transactions so dwarfs the dishonest players that their
marginalization-within the system, not with regard to the individuals
affected-should be recognized. However, much to the detriment of society
such recognition and perspective would not serve the needs of the media (who
know better but do not, like an insolent teenager, act as though they do),
so the actual size of the miscreant population is largely ignored or buried
and media exploitation of their mostly trivial acts continues unabated.
(Regarding the issues of both criminal activity and legally permitted yet
unethical behavior that can take advantage of the public's ignorance and/or
greed see Wealth of Nations
[Chapter 12] and the introductory section to this book "Self-Governance
in an Open Society.")
The successful entrepreneur is the person who
realizes and acts on the fact that he must satisfy his customer by offering
good value for a fair price, thereby ensuring repeated patronage and a solid
reputation
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that will draw others to his products. As Gilder notes, the
often-widespread misunderstanding of how the system works leads to negative reactions when we
view capitalism out of its context. And the context of capitalism is
people, not profit. After defining capitalism's foundations, Gilder changes
directions slightly and brings to the fore a little-noted economic reality.
His observation had widespread political consequences, thus its importance
yet today. His contention is that naked consumer demand is not the force
that creates the free-market sequence of foresight, invention, production,
distribution, sales, and consumption. Instead, he maintains that the process
begins with the conjecture and ability of the risk-taking capitalist to
create supply. If a product doesn't exist there usually isn't voluble
clamoring that calls for its creation (think of in-vitro fertilization,
Internet dating services, international air travel, or the internal
combustion engine). The public's imagination is usually not that inventive.
Instead, a new product or service appears pursuant to the efforts of a
visionary producer who often risks all in the hope of capturing the
consumer's heart. Without the creativity, efforts, and expertise of the
producer and the support of capital financing formed out of someone's
previous profits, there is no supply. This understanding-called supply-side
economics-came into focus during the presidency of Ronald Reagan.
Gilder notes that a supply-side economy requires
that incentives be in place to encourage the entrepreneur to take the risk
to create something novel, improved, less expensive, etc., while in the
bargain creating new jobs and hoped-for profits. As a free-enterprise system
becomes over-regulated and subject to high levels of taxation (remember, if
not controlled, government grows inexorably) there comes a need for
adjustment to the tax system and the bureaucracy to allow the capitalist to
see the advantages and potential success of attempting something new or
different. Mostly that simply means lowering tax rates to free up funds that
formerly went into government coffers. It also means reigning-in regulators
who stifle both invention and competition because they do not understand
enterprise as a concept, and whose administrative franchise has expanded
over time for too many reasons to iterate here.
When taxes are lowered and remain low and without
fluctuation capital becomes available to finance industry; new products,
services, and concepts abound. (With regard to an unpredictable tax
structure: the business person thrives on the certainty of government
intentions
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and is cautious when government roots about for small changes
that are usually political, and mostly ineffectual in increasing real
revenue.) With lower taxes the economy expands-to everyone's benefit, but
especially to the benefit of the government because increased economic
activity brings in greater revenues than were collected before at the higher
tax rates. This fact is one that must continually be brought to the fore as
it is misrepresented often-from the city desk to the broadcast booth, from
the political stump speech to the halls of Congress. But it is also a fact
that must be understood in its details.
A diversion to politics is worthwhile at this
juncture. In the thirty years since Gilder first offered his theories,
political rhetoric in this arena has gone to extremes in almost every
direction possible; yet there is still just one distinct issue with which we
are dealing, viz., which economic design will best allow the free market and
government to work together. Arthur Laffer is an economist who in the early
1970s conjured the Laffer Curve and publicly re-offered the common sense
notion that as taxes are lowered economic activity increases (his insight
had first appeared in economic writing as early as the fourteenth century).
This results in increased revenue for the taxing authority when a larger
economic footprint is taxed at lower rates. In 1961, when John F. Kennedy
began his presidency, the highest marginal income tax rate was 91%. That
means that above a certain income
level the government took $9.10 of every $10 earned. A Democrat Congress, at
Kennedy's urging, reduced the rate to 70%, and over the course of the next
20 years the mark was further lowered to 28%, and then raised and lowered
again in the ensuing 30 years. It rests at 35% today (2012). During that
five decade period the American economy experienced periods of both boom and
bust. However, what is obvious to anyone who looks at the details is that
what occurred in the economy at any given time was not solely the result of
tax policy but was buffeted by many elements such as crises in oil prices,
the beginning of stateless terrorism as a global reality, the massive
increase in federal spending as a result of President Lyndon Johnson's
multibillion dollar Great Society programs, President Barack Obama's
multitrillion dollar bailout, stimulus, and health care programs, etc.
At the turn of the twenty-first century the political conversations
regarding this subject are once again about the actual effects of lower tax
rates. However, these conversations are sometimes disingenuously attempted
in a false economic vacuum and are often presented in simplistic, black and
white terms, which is unfortunate for the discus-
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sions but convenient for the
politics. The fact is that tax rates and their effects and consequences,
like any other aspect of government policy, are subject to a vast array of
forces. Here are three of the basic issues (in exactly the political vacuum
noted above) that determine whether lowering tax rates brings in more or
less revenue to the government:
A. The rate in effect at the time lower rates are
proposed and how much of a reduction is contemplated. Lowering the personal
income tax rate from 91% to near or just above a 28% level increases
economic activity and brings a net gain to the treasury (absent any
significantly changed government or social circumstances). The massive
strength of the American economy, known as the engine that pulled the world
along for much of the last half-century (abetted by continuously expanding
free trade policies), is example enough of this proposition. Lowering the
rate from 35% to 31% generally will not induce the same effect in the same
measure, thus secondary considerations will also affect what happens.
Lowering it from 35% to a flat rate of 19% would likely expand economic
activity and increase tax revenues to a significant extent because of both
the lower rate and the disappearance of tens of thousands of pages of tax
regulations that also stifle the free market.
B. What taxes are being lowered. (The federal
government currently imposes hundreds of different taxes and fees.) The area
where the tax applies will determine how economic activity is affected and
thus whether there is a net gain or loss of revenue. If capital gains taxes
are lowered from 28% to 15%, as was done during the last decade, economic
activity in that arena will increase dramatically and there will be a net
revenue increase in that sector. If they are lowered from 18% to 15%
the effect may actually be a net revenue loss-that is, there may be some
increased activity but not enough to offset the 17% decrease in revenue that
was generated at the former level of activity.
C. To what purpose the revenue is being put. If
Congress lowers taxes but increases spending (usually as part of the
political bargain that allows the lower rates to be implemented) because it
expects greater revenue as a result of the reduced tax rates, the effect on
the actual revenue stream may be doubly negative; first because the populace
sees that the increased revenue is being used only to enlarge government
(something
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of which the voting public does not approve) and is not being
applied toward reducing previously created debt; second, because when the
dual realization
hits home that government is not only going to get bigger, but past excess
isn't going to be paid back, people will understand that the reduction in
taxes can only be temporary. Their incentive to increase economic activity
only to have that activity taxed more heavily in a few years is thus itself
reduced, if not flattened or even reversed.
While decreased tax rates
usually bring in more revenue, those revenues have never kept up with
government spending. (From 1965
to 2012 federal spending increased every year.
The last time the national debt was paid in full and the budget was
balanced was 1835.) When the public sees no reduction in spending it becomes
cynical about tax reductions, spending, and the governing class itself
Of course, the
fact that spending is very difficult to reduce is a given because the
politicians want it both ways—credit for lowering taxes and credit for
increasing both the size and number of government programs.
Once the political class realized it could cut taxes and
increase spending (obviously resulting in ever-greater deficits) without
paying for it at the ballot box, a cynical partnership was born and yearly
trillion dollar deficits became an acceptable, to them, reality.
If budgets are to be balanced it must be
accomplished by cutting spending because the power to spend for political
gain and personal aggrandizement breeds on itself.
It is more than an elixir, it is an aphrodisiac.
Spending must reassert itself as a principled exercise, not a
political one. At that point
taxation will begin to resolve itself.
The political games being played today regarding
the issue of taxation are far too complex to fully investigate by means of
Gilder's book. Briefly, however, the following factions are vying for
control: There are those in Congress who want to "starve the
beast" of government by keeping taxes low so there is simply less money
for government to spend. A second group will not stop spending even if there
is less revenue, for spending is their key to continued political
power. Each group intends to overwhelm the other, and both simply allow
federal deficits to grow-in unconscionable amounts-while each blatantly
seeks to force the other to succumb to fiscal blackmail to reduce the
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deficits they both created. This battle is pure power politics in its
ugliest form.
There is an opposite question here as well, one
also too broad for any serious consideration in this volume but which needs
to be addressed even if only superficially. It asks what effect raising
taxes has on the people, the market they operate, and government
revenues-although based on real history the answers seem somewhat plain. The
point is that lowering taxes doesn't automatically raise revenues any more
than raising taxes does because there are too many other (mostly political)
factors that have a strong effect on economic activity.
What's a body to do? As Jean Bodin observed in the
sixteenth century, Rousseau noted in the eighteenth, and Wilhelm Ropke
commented in the twentieth, we must design economic policy to fit mankind,
we cannot expect mankind to conform to economic policy. The latter demand is
simply a fool's errand, but one often undertaken by those who understand
little about the human condition and even less about the free market.
There is a quite legitimate conversation that must
take place regarding levels of taxation and realized revenues before sound
policy can be implemented. However, that dialogue cannot occur in a milieu
of accusation, or disingenuous black and white statements regarding complex
calculations that involve both human nature and fiscal possibilities, nor
can it occur where political goals are squarely in the way of anything
resembling fair economic discussion.
The truth for Gilder is both plain and simple: low
taxes, fewer regulations and less government intrusion into the free market
result in greater economic activity, which will increase government
revenues. Conversely, more of any of these elements reduces economic
activity, and more of all of them makes a significant difference in how well
the whole operates-and how much revenue the government receives. Yet, in
this arena what will work best for the citizenry and its goals is now almost
solely and unfortunately a political question. That means distortion,
exaggeration, and indictment will abound-to the detriment of everyone.
As was noted in the introduction to this book,
there were those at the Constitutional Convention in 1787 who were opposed
to allowing the national government the power to tax. From our twenty-first
century perch it is easy to see how well they knew of what they spoke. If we
had left taxation to the states the competition among them to keep taxes low
and thus attract and build economic opportunity would
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have kept legislatures
within the bounds of reality. We know this is true because we see it happening currently in the U.S. as individual states
try to attract business with favorable tax rates and structures. With no
competition and a virtually unfettered power to tax (essentially no check or
balance) the national government increases the revenue it can collect and
its equal (or greater) unfettered ability to spend. It has become an entity
over which the electorate has no control except that effected at the (now
mostly ignored) ballot box. Of course, what America would or would not have
become without the power to tax at the national level is an entirely
different and equally broad query. As noted above, all of these issues are
far too extensive for this treatise, but they are necessary elements,
foundational elements, in determining how we tax, and govern, ourselves.
There are two further and equally consequential
facts: first, the real need to regain control of and eventually reduce
government spending in order to keep the system itself viable, and second,
the effects of fiscal deficits (incurred increasingly as tax revenues do not
meet legislative mandates) on near and long term economic stability.
The citizens of the United States, particularly the next three
generations, now face, at the local, state, and national level, somewhere near
$110 trillion (not billion)
in unfunded retirement, healthcare and other liabilities payable to
ourselves. This debt continues
to grow each year.
That is an untenable burden, but it exists.
As noted above, the only options to resolve what has been created are
higher taxes and/or reduced spending, which means fewer services.
New taxes have failed to solve the ever-growing cost of government
for more than eight decades. When
rates are raised and some revenue is realized, all levels of government
simply spend more—that is the Faustian bargain that has been struck time
and time again. These results
are pure electioneering, the endemic need to get re-elected, reflected in
the art of supposedly being responsible and caring at the same time and
collecting a vote either way, or both. It
is cynical, self-serving, and very bad economics.
Of course there is
a third, even more devastating option—the federal government can inflate
us out of this spectacular burden by simply printing money that doesn’t
exist. That eliminates any need
for either increased taxation or program reduction.
If taxation and inflation, in tandem or separately, are the choices
to solve the existing problems the effects on future generations and the
nation are incalculable. The
dollar (and all property owned by every citizen) will be devalued, the
dollar’s use as the measure and foundation of international finance
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will
first be diluted and eventually eliminated (because of the international financial
market’s own protective reaction), and the strength and ability of the
nation to either prosper or defend itself will be significantly reduced.
Not to consider the details of these issues makes either the reader
or the political aspirant or any current office holder unprepared to be
effective and likely to be, as many have noted, part of the problem, not the
solution.
Finally, there is a practical reason why
increased federal deficits/debt will not adequately address this
circumstance: debt can only be created within reason because the market
where future debt is to be sold will ultimately not participate as it
becomes obvious that the notes being offered have little chance of being
repaid. As Ronald Reagan
humorously but entirely accurately quipped when asked about the size of the
deficits during his presidency, “I’m not too worried about the deficit.
It’s big enough to take care of itself.”
What Reagan was observing is that the national debt can only grow as
far as the market will allow; it
cannot expand to whatever level the political class demands.
That means real answers to political and fiscal questions will have
to be found. The
2011-2012 fiscal crises in Europe have established on the ground exactly
what the foregoing predicts for the
U.S.
How these elements of national
insecurity will be resolved on either side of the
Atlantic
can only be guessed at for now, but as the football aphorism notes with
regard to the forward pass, three things can happen when one is thrown, and
two of them are bad. The same
goes for the political options of higher taxes, reduced spending, and
inflation.
Unfortunately for our future generations, how the
politics, much less the payments themselves, will be accommodated are large
questions that are yet being ignored. The longer we let them fester, the
worse will be the treatment-including real economic disaster or revolution
by other than law and negotiation. These fiscal issues are called the third
rail of electoral politics (meaning that any politician who tells the truth
about them will be defeated if not tarred and feathered as anti-American)
thus the lack of political will to address them. In simplistic fashion,
increased taxes (generally on the "unlimited" resources of the
wealthy) will be the first (political) response. Gilder's point in all of
this is that tax increases are counter-indicated and would be fully
inadequate to solve the problems created by unrestrained growth in
government.
To return to the sub-point of this discussion: the
increased federal income raised by Gilder and Laffer's model is intended to
be used to reduce previously incurred government debt, or at the very worst,
to
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stabilize government activity at its current levels and keep inflation in
check; the revenue is not supposed to further increase the size of
government. However, if those with political muscle see matters differently
then government grows yet again. If an increased (largely unrealistic but
politically expedient) government intrusion into society on the spending
side is the result of the increased revenues, lower taxes will eventually
only result in further deficits. It is important to understand that in the
hands of some politicians the lower taxes get the blame for this
effect, but they are decidedly not the cause, obviously the increased
spending is. That such a link between lower taxes and increased debt is made
at all is political dishonesty of the first rank.
All his adult life President Reagan recalled
something he learned during the Depression: "We cannot spend our way to
prosperity." It is equally understood we cannot borrow our way there
either. Winston Churchill observed a like reality: "I contend
that for a nation to try to tax itself into prosperity is like a man
standing in a bucket and trying to lift himself up by the handle." We
would all do well to recall both men's observations as discussions regarding
fiscal issues come to the fore.
*
* *
Gilder's exposition of supply-side economics is
more than just an attempt to create a climate where more revenue finds its
way to the federal treasury. His real goal is to define how to change the
culture of government itself by changing its foundations. Gilder is
obviously aware that since the Great Depression the legislative process has
been controlled by the liberal redistributionists of the Left, as well as
other hand-wringers whose concern for the have-nots often does not extend
beyond public posturing largely aimed at claiming a mantle of virtue. Gilder
looks at social inequities and sees the need for something more than liberal
efforts to tax wealth to level the playing field to make all of life equal.
He knows that such actions are intellectual attempts to subdue both society
and the economy, but that they instead cause incremental economic
contraction on a broad scale and endemic destitution on the individual
level.
Gilder observes that modern liberals seek
melioristic if not socialistic results bought with capitalism's wealth. The
negative consequences of simply taxing wealth as a solution to life's
inequities are candidly and eloquently discussed in Bertrand de Jouvenel's The
Ethics of Redistribution (Chapter 28) and Frederick Bastiat's The
Law (Chapter 7). But, Gilder
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independently builds on the substance
of both authors' observations, which coincide with his own. After exposing
meliorism's premises, and failures, he (like Hayek and Freidman before him)
addresses the fundamental fallacy of liberal tendencies toward
redistribution that simply substitute one form of inequality for another.
Ultimately, inequality is intractable, a fact that
percolates to the surface in almost all of the books presented in this
colloquium. But inequality is as beneficial as it is universal, something
liberals refuse to recognize publicly but ceaselessly take advantage of in
their political maneuvers. Inequality's beneficial effect comes to the fore
in the genius, drive, imagination, fearlessness, and dedication of each
individual who has created the world's wealth, raised the standards of
living, and done all of the labor required to make dreams come true-from
those in the mine shaft or on the shop floor, to those in the laboratory or
boardroom. As these truths have gained public recognition,
"solving" inequality in the twenty-first century has been less and
less the object of surmise of social philosophers. These philosophers have
begun to understand the benefit to society of recognizing inequality's
overwhelming positive contributions, not just its sometimes-negative image
in the wrong politician's hands.
Of course, using superficial allegations of
inequality as a populist ploy has not left the repertoire of the politically
starved or the demagogues who seek to achieve power by embracing specious
economic policies and goals. Gilder precisely dissects the programs of these
self-aggrandizers, while coincidentally giving substance to economic
realities that will allow a rational approach to the benefits of a
supply-side market economy.
Gilder's conclusion, that any attempt at
redistribution of wealth always results in further inequity (especially for
those whose resources are being redistributed) is inescapable. But he is
equally
ready to offer that some redistributive assistance is both justified
and essential in the twenty-first century. For Gilder-as for most First
Principles authors who address the economically less well-off-this
assistance should as often as possible be privately constructed and
administered, as it was during the ten thousand years prior to the
mid-twentieth century. If aid is directly fostered by local agencies (where
those who give and those who receive can observe what is working and what is
not) the public component cannot as easily grow, nor can it as easily drive
out private initiative-which is invariably more effective, nimble, and less
expensive than government subsidies. Above offering help on a basic
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level,
the premise that government redistribution is fairer than free economic
interplay is simply false, despite its prominence in many a left-leaning
political campaign. In the end, the only real commodity to distribute is
opportunity.
Gilder takes this insight slightly a field from
merely examining capitalism. He finds that any economic configuration-not
just free enterprise-results in inequality. The nature of the free market
and the foundation of its ultimate utility is that it is transparent. This
allows everyone to equally understand its operations and make decisions in
their own best interest. Natural cause and effect are overt and the
inevitable inequality isn't simply the arbitrary result of bureaucratic or
legislative caprice, political influence peddling, or even populist or
dictatorial whim.
Gilder finds that after the market has met the
essential needs of all members of society-sparingly and rationally abetted
by various forms of both public and private social safety nets-each person
must engage the system on his own. Government should only be allowed minimal
intervention to ensure fair play. He notes that we are first individually
responsible for what happens to us, so that government should not have to
intrude in our efforts and relationships on more than a very basic level.
Given a moment's thought, that's pretty much what all of us want anyway,
because pride and self-esteem are basic components of human nature. In this
vein see Charles Murray's What
It Means to Be a Libertarian (Chapter 19).
Of course, determining where government should be
further involved is where much disagreement arises. Conservatives argue that
additional government interference beyond what is described above would
simply recreate inequity. Liberals, through both their rhetoric and their
programs, contend otherwise. They appear to purposely ignore the harm done
to the whole system when the energy of capitalistic impulse-better termed
the human spirit-is suppressed through redistributive taxation and ignorant
or even foolish regulations. All of these skew the market, invite both the
law of unintended consequences and corruption to blossom, and cause social
devolution toward the culture of dependency in those oppressed by
paternalistic government.
Wealth and Poverty arrived on the New
York Times Best Sellers list and came to be called "the bible of
the Reagan revolution." President Reagan had been telling the public
that government could raise revenues by cutting taxes, thus freeing the
economy from high levies while
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maintaining government services on an even
level. At the time, as this seemed an inherent contradiction even though it
was historically a given (every federal tax cut from Presidents Coolidge to
Kennedy had resulted in increased government revenue by means of increased
economic activity), people bought Gilder's book to have the riddle
explained. The answer was simple and hardly revolutionary. In addition to
what has been noted previously in this synopsis, Gilder also observes that
as lower taxes revitalize entrepreneurship numerous additional changes
occur, especially higher rates of employment. Gilder examines how capital
migrates from tax shelters to more productive
investments; why tax avoidance declines; finally, he observes that
individuals previously disengaged from the job and capital markets re-enter
them because opportunities abound. As a direct consequence of higher levels
of employment, a reduced need for government assistance results. As
government now costs less it needs to tax less.
This simple cycle has to be reinvented and
reinvented and reinvented because liberal demagogues insist on penalizing
the "rich" with high taxes (as though they had done something
venal in creating the various aspects of our prosperity), thereby driving
down tax revenues, drying up the supply of capital needed as fuel for
economic activity, and creating exactly the reverse economic result from
what they intend. One of the main reasons this result ensues is that
although the tax rhetoric is aimed at the wealthy, the reality is that such
schemes invariably must be applied to the top half of income earners-who
currently pay 97% of all income taxes-in order to have their supposed
effect. Clearly the liberal attitude of "let the wealthy pay for
it" is both counterproductive and not what happens when tax rates are
raised. As Gilder explains, the alternative offered by supply-side theory
looks not just attractive, but obvious as well. If tax policy is to be
discussed rationally it must be done in terms of economic activity, not
individuals or a class of people, or social goals. Economics as a craft
creates opportunity, politics as a methodology most often does the
opposite-it wants to effect control.
American liberals beginning with the last half of
the twentieth century were like their pro-Communist "intellectual
elite" forebears of the 1930s and '40s who sought wholly equalitarian
goals. In both cases, the mistake was that of arguing against human nature,
especially the principle of individual incentive that is the foundation of
economic success. This error was often not an honest one. Populist political
speech, no matter how disingenuous or unsupported by facts, was simply too
useful to demagogues seeking to be elected or re-elected.
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Sadly, the
economic illiteracy of the citizenry abetted the office-seekers in this
enterprise. This fact won't be changed easily-that is human nature-thus
vigilance is the tool, if not weapon, of choice in the ongoing battle
surrounding the free enterprise system.
In Wealth and Poverty Gilder is especially
hard on the post-World War II liberal economists, particularly those who
attempted to justify the free lunch of President Lyndon Johnson's Great
Society. These "experts" pontificated in the service of liberal
politicians who instituted programs that failed in the face of human
realities. Gilder notes that populist and pessimistic economists such as
Lester Thurow and John Kenneth Galbraith put forth a weak argument in favor
of government control of the economy. Their premise was that the human race
had "seen its finest hour and that the future looked bleak," and
that government's centralized control was needed to create any chance of
economic stability. To expose this kind of narrow pessimism one needs only
to step back to secure an historical perspective. Optimists like Reagan did
just that. Spurred on rather than daunted by modern challenges, they were
optimists because they appreciated what people had done in the past and saw
what they could do in the future. The history of the human spirit makes
negative contentions such as those of Galbraith and Thurow look particularly
paltry and even silly. The economic history of the world since they offered
their views and theories at mid-century makes them look like something even
less.
How and where wealth will originate (if only so it
can be taxed) if there is no mechanism in place to create it is a question
liberals never ask, much less answer. The question appears not even to have
occurred to them. The political success of 1960s liberals bred hubris and
led to an almost
complete inversion of economic truth. They thought simply because they had
been elected that their programs would work; however, voter validation is
often a bad test of free-lunch economics. The destructive economic and
social force of President Johnson's Great Society programs, and, by
inference, the confiscatory tax policies and deficit spending necessary to
support them, was individually deconstructed by former New York Senator
Daniel Patrick Moynihan when he was assistant secretary of labor in the
early 1960s. His 1965 report, The Negro Family: The Case for National
Action (the premise of which was that welfarism did more to destroy
families than encourage them), abetted the social sea change that culminated
in the unprecedented political ascendancy of conservatives by the end of the
twentieth century. Yet, as Gilder observes, such "intellectuals"
as Galbraith are still
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given room for their diatribes in the popular press
because liberals simply refused to brook any argument debunking their
theories no matter how much experience has shown them to be bankrupt.
As he approaches the end of his discussion, Gilder
dissects inflation, perhaps the most dangerous effect of bad government
policy. Inflation has many elements, and the details and permutations of
inflationary theory and practice cover a range too broad for substantive
discussion in a synopsis such as this. But Gilder wants the reader to have
more than a passing acquaintance with the subject. He devotes a chapter to
the evolution of inflationary assumptions and follows inflation's history
from John Maynard Keynes's assertions that tax increases don't cause
inflation (they do), to the effects of deficit spending (also highly
inflationary).
In the modern era it has become clear that
inflation is caused principally by government's inappropriate expansion of
the money supply, effected almost invariably to cover deficits created by
legislative largesse. The unfortunate part is that fiscally illiterate
politicians often do not see, or do not want to see, the connection between
their actions and economic distortions, distortions that almost invariably
act to the great detriment of the participants at the lower end of the
economic scale. This, of course, fits nicely, albeit paradoxically, into the
goal of raising taxes in the first place-so the government has more revenue
to help the disadvantaged-a group the legislators have conveniently enlarged
by their very actions. Unfortunately the pool of resources to aid this
enlarged population has shrunk with equal vigor as tax increases stifle
economic activity.
As Gilder makes clear, the government's deficit
expenditures ultimately must be made good via myriad inflationary practices:
generally new or increased or even hidden taxes; or through the expansion of
the money supply; or through the sale of government debt (with accompanying
repayment of principal and interest that requires even more inflationary tax
revenues), or with bankruptcy. Government spending is not and has never been
an effective answer to either a faltering economy or grand schemes of
"social justice" because the expenditures must be paid back
sometime, someplace, somehow. That requirement invariably generates a less,
not more, robust economy.
A weak economy is made strong by increased economic
opportunity, never by increased government; when an economy is strong,
economic and social justice are achieved on their own terms, not by
redistribution of society's income. Yet inflationary government policies are
always a
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convenient political solution and are seen as a quick fix-which
they might actually be in the short term and the narrow view-thus their
siren song is ever-inviting to the political class. But, in the long term,
the quick fix has to be paid for by otherwise productive dollars taken from
the remaining citizens whose opportunities are thus reduced, as is the power
of the economic engine those citizens
drive. (For further discussion of the negative consequences of short-term
solutions to long-term problems, see Economics
in One Lesson by Henry Hazlitt [Chapter 24] and The
Theory of Money and Credit by Ludwig von Mises [Chapter 34].)
Gilder's theories and prescriptions in Wealth
and Poverty make sense because he bases them on human nature not
wide-eyed and idyllic Enlightenment-era "rationalism." Human
inventiveness and the economic rules of incentives and risks are his
guideposts. Although no theory in its execution can be without side effects
and dead ends, supply-side free-market economics seems more sensible and
offers hope for more progress than does any rationalization for government
intervention and control.
About the Author
Born in New York City in 1939, George Gilder attended Exeter Academy and
Harvard University. While at Harvard he studied under Henry Kissinger and
helped found Advance, a journal of political thought that he
represented in Washington, D.C. after his graduation in 1962. Four years
later he co-authored The Party That Lost Its Head, a profile of
Republicans in turmoil. He later returned to Harvard as a fellow at the
Kennedy Institute of Politics and as editor of the Ripon Forum. In
the 1960s, Gilder served as a speechwriter for various officials and
candidates, including Nelson Rockefeller, George Romney, and Richard Nixon.
In the 1970s, as an independent researcher and
writer, Gilder began an inquiry into the causes of poverty; this research
resulted in his writing several books, including Wealth and Poverty.
He pioneered the formulation of the theories of supply-side economics while
serving as chairman of the Lehrman Institute's Economic Roundtable, as
program director for the Manhattan Institute, and as a frequent contributor
to the A.B. Laffer economic reports. After the publication of Wealth and
Poverty he consulted regularly with key figures in the Reagan and first
Bush administrations. Gilder is presently a Senior Fellow at the Discovery
Institute in Seattle.
Institute for Contemporary Studies
720 Market St.
San Francisco, CA 94102
(800) 326-0263
www.icspress.com
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