Originally published: 1983, Revised 1991
784 pages | Chapter
22
MODERN TIMES
Paul Johnson |
French Impressionist Georges Seurat's most famous work, A Sunday on
the Island of La Grande Jatte, was painted in 1884. It is a wall-sized
scene of bathers, picnickers, and holiday strollers. It looks like an
ordinary painting until one discerns upon close inspection that there are no
brush strokes on the canvas, only tiny dots of color. Seurat's intent was to
achieve an accurate sense of shading through the application of various hues
one dot after another so that the tone would change subtly but precisely.
This style of painting is termed pontillism. The effect of his
composition is striking.
So it is with Paul Johnson's Modern Times. Combined
with detailed observations-the dots of time and place, of personality and
perception-his broad sweep effectively investigates the causes and effects
and the consequences of twentieth-century history. Johnson's accumulation of
fact, informatively analyzed by reference to the first principles offered in
the works of the other authors found here, results in an articulate and
practical explanation of how the world organized and disorganized itself
during the last hundred years.
History is obviously the province of the
professionals but it is of practical importance to all of us. While
politicians and the media tend to use history selectively, the rest of us
too often foolishly ignore these historical distortions and suffer the
aftereffects generation upon generation. Johnson has taken twentieth-century
history from before the First World War to the demise of the Soviet Union
and crafted a fact-by-fact account with the same panoramic sweep and minute
detail of a Seurat canvas.
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Johnson's introductory chapter covers several
overarching realities. Perhaps the foremost change that occurred in the
early part of the twentieth century was the demise of divine right monarchs
(who reigned through the grace of God) and the rule of religion over matters
that were mostly secular. The power of these two elements was coextensive
with the rule of what law existed at the close of the nineteenth century.
The transition to democracy in some cases and totalitarian dictators in
others appeared as a simple separation of state and church. The full
consequences, however, spelled death to hundreds of millions of people
primarily through the loss of both religious foundation as the guiding
public impulse and the restraint of mostly benevolent modern royal families.
Religion is mystical and often totalitarian. When
Friedrich Nietzsche (1844-1900), one of many famous and infamous
nineteenth-century German philosophers, belittled religion's mysticism as
being beneath the modern human intellect, and when science began to make
religion look paltry by explaining its miracles, the totalitarian practices
formerly cultivated by religion were reconfigured. Modern systems of
governance became predicated on secular "principles," malleable
principles at that, or, on the darker side, they were based on mere human
desires, even whims. These systems replaced the authority of the church or
king. As Johnson explains, the collapse of religion's hold (which people had
understood as submission to God's guiding moral hand) often allowed the
resulting vacuum to be filled by a "will to power" embodied in the
force of men who were seen to
control their own destiny. In the end, the replacements for totalitarian
clergy were often totalitarian demagogues, vested only with the urge to
control others and a confidence conferred by nothing more than self-interest
in the guise of righteousness. The new messiahs were uninhibited by
religious sanctions of any type; the results were both pre-ordained and
deadly-intellectually, spiritually, and literally.
The eight hundred pages of this book remain
captivating and unfailingly readable throughout because of how well Johnson
weaves drama into his account. His essay has such range that readers must
frequently pause to think about both its magnitude and the
interconnectedness of its pieces. One is continually reminded of the need to
keep a double focus-on the big canvas and on the smaller dots of color. The
ability to maintain a binocular view is especially valuable in understanding
the twentieth century's complicated history; Johnson's text helps to make
this possible.
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Johnson studies the causes of much of the last
century's insanity-from World War I near the beginning, to the unavoidable
first war in Iraq toward the end-and he not surprisingly finds them rooted
in human failings. Observers are not sure whether to draw hope, because
these antecedents are known, or to despair, because the previous century's
horrors were the result of mundane and persistently repeated causes and
effects. Too often we suffered an inability to make public judgments on what
was good and what was unacceptable; we delayed making necessary decisions
even as the potential consequences of those decisions turned into practical
inevitabilities. The lesson of Neville Chamberlain, prime minister of Great
Britain (who tried to appease Germany's Adolf Hitler in 1938 and instead
allowed the conflagration of World War II to eventuate) is a stark example
of what happens when people and nations don't act when they must. Of course,
that judgment is hindsight, but it does not belie how the factual context of
those times should have more easily allowed right to insist on the use of
might. The lesson in that case, a slight play on Walter McDougall's
admonition in Promised Land,
Crusader State (Chapter 20) that "force must sometimes precede
reason," was that force should have been used to induce reason. Today,
America's actions in Iraq reflect more the latter sentiment than the former.
In all cases, unfortunately, we only see how well we arrived at decisions
after the fact.
Underlying twenty-first-century society are the
same problems with which Johnson begins his comprehensive recalling of
twentieth-century history. We find familiar his themes of racial and
religious antagonism; ethnic discrimination that results in
"cleansing," a euphemism for murder (why do we allow such
misguided, sanitized, and reluctant language to obscure reality?); petty and
grand jealousies and larcenies; and modernized and aggrandized versions of
the seven deadly sins: greed, envy, sloth, etc. In other words, no matter
how much we might learn from the past the future will still be populated by
human beings who have not changed much. Thus history is likely to repeat
itself no matter how much we insist that should not be true. The only solace
is that we can affect the course of events even while understanding we
cannot control them.
Perhaps Johnson's most damning investigation begins
with the Treaty of Versailles which set the terms for the conclusion of
World War I. The stupidity of politicians (with revenge on their minds and
fear in their hearts) who controlled the peace process at the end of the
conflict merely set in motion a chain of events that inevitably resulted
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in
more warfare. U.S. President Woodrow Wilson was the most naive and hence
most dangerous of these men (the righteous are ever thus) while the British
and French leaders were equally as destructive in their own and opposite
ways. As Johnson
observes, the wisdom of those who understood the human experience-from
British economist John Maynard Keynes to American columnist Walter Lippmann
to the ever present, ever observant Winston Churchill-was ignored or
dismissed, to the peril of all. There followed the rest of the twentieth
century's history which Johnson presents in fascinating relief, and with
object lesson after object lesson to bolster his theses.
One of this volume's most interesting analyses is
Johnson's investigation into the causes and depth of the Great Depression of
the 1930s which was a worldwide phenomenon. Johnson succinctly demonstrates
how the Depression was not the result (much less the necessary result) of
leaving a self-regulating economy to its own devices. Unfortunately, exactly
the opposite was true; it was government intervention, not laisse-faire
economic practices that caused the economic and social destruction of the
Depression. Johnson uses the example of the negative consequences inflicted
by the 1930 passage of the Hawley-Smoot tariff act in the U.S. just as the
Depression was beginning. This legislation caused retaliatory and
destructive counter-tariffs to be enacted around the world, with a
concomitant decline in international trade and national well-being. The
result of this interference could have been avoided but only if facts had
been allowed to intrude upon fanciful economic and social theology.
In defiance of the meddlesome collectivists and
utopians throughout the twentieth century, Johnson shows why such presidents
as Dwight Eisenhower, Warren Harding, and Calvin Coolidge (who are often
remembered derisively by paternalistic intellectuals) were men worthy of a
respect verging on veneration. They were great historical figures precisely
because they seemed to do so little while clearly doing so much. Not only
did they control government spending, bureaucracy, and regulations, they
also kept in check the size of the social burden, which causes ruinous
inflation when it becomes too great. A few examples from the Coolidge
presidency serve to demonstrate just this point. Under Coolidge's guidance,
unemployment was essentially non-existent (employers competed for workers),
the cost of living went down 2.3%, the budget showed a surplus, and the debt
from World War I was paid off.
When Ike was in office wages went up steadily while
prices remained stable. The workday and workweek were shortened, yet
productivity
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rose. Taxes were lowered and parents could send their kids to
college and buy a family home, all on one income. As Eisenhower observed in
his laconic manner, inflation must be controlled before social
security is attended to because a stable government and a sound economy
provide the only reliable form of communal safety at all levels of society.
The non-interventionist presidents, Johnson notes, were not emotionally or
intellectually distant; they merely understood the necessity of allowing
Adam Smith's invisible hand to control the market. He observes:
What is important in history is not only the events that occur but the
events
that obstinately do not occur.
Turning to the administrative side of governing,
Johnson fully investigates corporate government. On the half of the ledger
where he explores the world's open societies he uncovers the seeds of the
now-endemic welfare state and sees their germination in the need for
government power in a far different venue: at the peak of war efforts. As
John Dewey, one of the modern era's scholars of socialism claimed:
No matter how many among the special agencies for public control decay
with the disappearance of war stress, the movement will never go backward.
However, Johnson observes concisely and in juxtaposition to Dewey that
private property and private liberty tend to stand and fall together.
Liberty and property can be secure, even in extreme circumstances, only
if citizens act with intention. If they do not, then both property and
freedom are easy prey for the demagogues. The progression is thus:
governmental controls over individual lives during wartime work well as
emergency measures but they do not function benignly in the long run; most
importantly, they are indeed difficult to reverse. Johnson notes that
government expansion to meet the needs of war changes a population's
character, rendering people compliant to the state's direction because they
don't know where else to turn for guidance. Lingering docility after a war
does allow the "intellectuals"-who fought for, or may have even
caused the war-to contend that they are better equipped to manage the peace.
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The historical progression is from a collectivist
war-footing, to the intellectuals' socialistic answers in questions of
governance ("we know best") when the war ends, and eventually,
sometime after the peace, to totalitarianism at worst, or the welfare state
at best. Because socialism does not and cannot work voluntarily force is
necessary to both implement and sustain it. This is the collectivist side of
the twentieth century's historical ledger. It can be stymied but only if
citizens take responsibility for their society; that is, if they are wary.
Those who recognize and then demand a return of control can and do dismantle
some of the machinery of government. It is often two steps backward-during
the war-and one step forward once the war is over, until socialistic
collapse threatens society, as it did in Britain in the 1970s. Then citizens
can begin to regain control and return to a free-market economy, as occurred
under Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher during the 1980s.
Johnson's investigation and comparison of the
political leaders of the twentieth century remains especially useful. The
facts surrounding the rule of many elected officials who usurped public
trust should make us cautious of choosing ordinary people to lead in
extraordinary times. Too many leaders have been ordinary in the sense that
they were incapable of a judicious comprehension of history, of sound theory
and/or of competent execution, yet they suffered from messianic delusions of
omnicompetence or even omnipotence. They had visions that were sometimes so
flawed, or were on occasion so incoherently attempted, that Johnson's
readers are moved at least to reassess history's judgments of both their
personalities and their actions: de Gaulle (France), Hammerskjold (UN), Mao
(China), Adenauer (Germany), and even Gandhi (India). Of course, the demonic
murderers-Stalin (Soviet Union), Hitler (Germany), Pol Pot (Cambodia)-though
in a class by themselves, were notable only for their ruthlessness, a
non-universal competence, that had little to do with leadership and much to
do with insanity.
Throughout his treatise, Johnson explains what went
wrong and what went right in the twentieth century. There are ways, he
recognizes, to destroy or to build a country. He comments:
The collectivists dismissed the Western notion of freedom of choice
and
providing for oneself based on sound employment and replaced it with a
paternalistic vision of compulsory and universal security.
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Collectivist bureaucracies functioned to control
not just their economies in a paternalistic fashion, but society in a
totalitarian nightmare. As Johnson notes, in terms of economics, governments
should be designed to issue regulations aimed at perfect competition not
utopian fantasies. There is a role for the government, but as has been
demonstrated by so many of the authors reviewed here it should have a
minimalist cast. The ultimate success of governing comes down to economics,
the dismal science, and its operative energy: human incentive working in an
open society. The arrogance of government or individuals who think they are
smarter and more powerful than something quite ineluctable-human
striving-has inevitably resulted in failed policies and economies.
Over the course of the twentieth century the
progressives and totalitarians experimented with governmental direction or
confiscation of the engines of commerce. They thought this necessary to
support their welfare states. The progressives crafted their design by means
of insupportable taxation and economic regulation; the collectivists went
further and physically seized productive property, an act that they called
nationalization. In those cases the government simply took over the assets
and operations of core businesses such as communication, banking,
transportation, heavy manufacturing, etc., and ran them as state
enterprises. But without the instrument of a free market that sets realistic
prices reflective of real costs and offers incentive, the wealth necessary
to support any government simply failed to materialize and each of these
welfare states faced collapse.
In order to compensate for (necessarily) inadequate
tax revenues as fewer economic activities occurred (economic activity having
been depressed because incentive had been quashed) the collectivist central
authority had only one alternative to support their bad social/fiscal
habits: print more money. The result was classic inflation; an increased
supply of money chasing fewer goods and services. In this circumstance a
country can become decapitalized (meaning the value of its money is greatly
reduced or even destroyed) in short order. To study the details of
twentieth-century collectivist economic disasters, the companion volume to Modern
Times is Daniel Yergin and Joseph Stanislaw's The
Commanding Heights (Chapter 29), the story of how the free market,
capitalism, and democracy evolved to change the world step by step, country
by country, after the intellectual disaster of totalitarianism had run its
course.
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Taking a slightly different tack, Johnson reserves
special enmity for what he termed the most destructive twentieth-century
demon, the professional politician, and the era's most radical vice, social
engineering. The professional politician, as Johnson comments, sees the
masses in terms of votes, power, and control (for the good of the citizenry
these "statesmen" will take the helm) while ordinary people see
politicians much differently, as purportedly and properly serving the
interests of their freedom. Johnson observes that for the "real"
nation (the people) democracy ultimately matters less than the rule of law.
This is a concept that has been remarkably important throughout history,
particularly as nations develop, but less often observed by either
politicians or historians. Law is the foundation of order; without law order
has no definition. The best example of this equation is the contrarian Fidel
Castro in Cuba. When Fidel proclaimed that "Revolutionary Justice is
based not upon legal precepts but on moral conviction," Johnson judged
this to be the end of the rule of law in
Cuba. "Moral conviction" is too amorphous, too idiosyncratic and
far too subject to both differences of opinion and, more importantly,
corruption to be a standard. Where one person's morals or philosophy or
convictions result in government by decree there is neither law nor any
reason to expect justice. As the West deals with the twenty-first century's
militant Islam and comes to understand why progress toward its own dual
goals of peace and freedom in the Middle East have been slow in coming it
will most likely arrive back at Johnson's foundational comprehension of both
the utility and allure of order as necessary before democracy can be
practiced with any degree of success.
As Johnson observes the twentieth century's nouveau
totalitarian leaders and dissects their motives he finds that "men are
excessively ruthless and cruel not out of an avowed malice but from outraged
righteousness." And, of course, from greed. This was especially true in
the political vacuum that began appearing during the 1950s in the so-called
Third World. As colonialism waned and European governors withdrew in favor
of indigenous despots-esteemed as saintly merely because of their erstwhile
subjugated status-righteousness and entitlement in these countries ran
rampant. Johnson details the African post-colonial experience in particular
and describes the slow descent into continental lunacy.
This decline was fomented, Johnson argues, by the
Bandung Conference in Indonesia in 1955 when the non-aligned nations
(unaligned
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with either the West or the Communists) joined together to plan
their own utopias but with even less skill and fewer tools than their former
colonial masters. None of the post-colonial rulers or bureaucrats had any
experience in creating wealth; they were pure intellectuals who, not
surprisingly as Johnson explains, thought that they could tax the air to
garner the resources for their economically vacuous master plans. Their
failure was inevitable, of course, and we see the results still in the
twenty-first century.
In spite of petty and idealistic claims that
matters are changing there remains a dearth of rationality and a devilishly
large portion of corruption in the emerging democracies that received their
freedom before they were prepared for it. Johnson warns at the end of his
dissertation of an equally dim prospect for Europe as a result of the
European community's reach for universal government ruling over sects,
religions, language groups, races and cultures that are far from ready to
meld and disappear into a unified entity, or even a united economic system.
It isn't that despots will emerge, rather, unity will be unattainable
because of too many conflicting goals and histories. At that point enmity,
Europe's worst bugaboo and most persistent emotional response, will prevail.
In spite of Johnson's observations about the
foundation of good governance, there still is room left for his apprehension
regarding the potential for future "mischief." Although mischief
sounds benign for the devastation wreaked by human on human in the twentieth
century, atrocious crimes always begin with misdeeds that are fairly trivial
and correctable. We correct mischief in our children with mild rebuke and,
if their unacceptable activity persists, with a stronger sermon, but when
they continue to misbehave, we visit the force of consequence upon them. It
was precisely the force of consequence, no matter how obvious its need, that
was ever ignored in the adult world of the twentieth century. Will we do
this over and over again? Or will we recognize and then act against those
who "seek by force and achieve by cowardice" their selfish goals,
the attainment of which requires the destruction of a civilized society?
At the end of his survey, Johnson concludes that
there are no strict inevitabilities in history. That lesson learned and then
practiced could set civilization on a path of sustained improvement. But
difficult choices would have to be made. Human reality cannot take a back
seat to vacuous and emotionally freighted political sensitivity-something of
a current trend in modern politics. There is a difference between
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good and
bad, and where that difference goes unrecognized or unobserved or uncounted,
people suffer, sometimes hideously. Under the totalitarians of the twentieth
century, the suffering didn't need to be imagined.
About the Author
Born in Barton, Lancashire, England in 1928, Paul Johnson was educated at
Stonyhurst, England's oldest Catholic boarding school, and at Magdalen
College, Oxford. Early in his career as a journalist he worked as assistant
editor of Paris-based Realités (1952-1955) and then at the London
weekly New Statesman (1955-1970) where he was the editor during his
last six years. Johnson has been a visiting lecturer at educational
institutions around the world and has won numerous literary awards.
Since he edged away from journalism and began
concentrating on history, Johnson has written nearly thirty books and an
untold number of articles and other pieces. He is most famous for Modern
Times, his stunning epic of twentieth-century tyranny. Prior to the
publication of this work liberals commonly distinguished between bad
right-wing totalitarianism (fascism and Nazism) and justifiable left-wing
totalitarianism (socialism, welfarism and Communism). The crimes of the
latter the liberals conveniently swept under the rug while saluting their
utopian intentions. Johnson justifiably denounced all totalitarianism as
evil. Obviously not the first to do this, he nonetheless made a great impact
by holding one dictator after another systematically and openly accountable
for their savage killings.
Johnson emerged as a herald of liberty in the
1970s. "I had once thought liberty was divisible, that you could have
very great personal liberty within a framework of substantial state control
of the economy," he reflected, "but I don't mind saying I was
quite wrong. The thing that finally convinced me was the issue of compulsory
unionism." He made his conversion clear in Enemies of Society
(1977), an extended attack on what he called the "fascist left."
Modern Times has been translated into twenty
languages and sold more than six million copies.
Johnson lives with his wife of many decades,
Marigold Hunt, in Bayswater, London. They have three sons, a daughter, and
five grandchildren.
Available through:
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New York, NY 10022
www.harpercollins.com
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